Public Finance

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 172: Ethiopia’s Sequential Debt Agreements with France and China, and the Enduring Limits of the G20 Common Framework

Since formally requesting debt treatment in early 2021 under the G20 Common Framework, Ethiopia has faced a protracted and uncertain restructuring five year-process marked by delays, creditor coordination challenges, and mounting economic pressures. The country’s economic vulnerabilities have been exacerbated by conflict, foreign exchange shortages, inflationary pressures, and declining investor confidence. Against this backdrop, the announcement on 3 April 2026 that Ethiopia had reached a debt treatment resolution with China represents a significant development, not only for Ethiopia’s restructuring process but also for broader debates on the effectiveness (or lack thereof) of the Common Framework. This update examines the details of the agreement, situates it within Ethiopia’s broader debt trajectory, and critically assesses what it reveals about the evolving global debt restructuring regime.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 171: Nigeria to Explore a $5 billion Total Return Swap with UAE Bank

Nigeria is once again at a critical juncture in its debt trajectory, as mounting fiscal pressures, rising borrowing costs, and constrained access to conventional financing channels push the government toward increasingly complex and opaque instruments. Recent reports indicate that Nigeria is considering a $5 billion Total Return Swap (TRS) arrangement with First Abu Dhabi Bank, marking a significant shift in its debt management strategy. This development must be situated within a broader pattern of an increasing appetite for this credit derivative in the form of Total Return Swaps. Both Angola and Senegal have in the recent past also been reported to have entered into Total Return Swaps. These developments point to a deepening reliance on financial engineering solutions that may provide short term liquidity but carry significant long-term risks for fiscal stability and public accountability.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 170: Mozambique’s Debt Paradox: A Turning Point Masking Structural Fragility

Mozambique has entered 2026 with a seemingly positive milestone, having fully repaid its outstanding obligations to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ahead of schedule. This development, which might ordinarily signal improved fiscal health and strengthened macroeconomic stability, instead unfolds against a backdrop of intensifying domestic debt pressures, constrained fiscal space, and growing socio-economic strain. While authorities have framed the early repayment as evidence of sound financial management and renewed credibility, emerging data suggests a more complex and concerning reality. Domestic borrowing has surged, external financing conditions remain tight, and key development projects face increasing uncertainty. Mozambique’s trajectory mirrors a wider trend across African sovereigns, where headline debt milestones often sit alongside intensifying structural vulnerabilities and fiscal strain. Against this backdrop, this update explores the country’s recent full repayment of its IMF obligations in parallel with rising domestic debt pressures and tightening fiscal space.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 167: Debt Swaps in Africa: Renewed Momentum Amid Persistent Structural Concerns

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 166: Africa’s Rising Domestic Debt: Structural Shift, Emerging Risks, and Policy Implications

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 164: Senegal’s Total Return Swap Deal and the Expansion of Hidden Debt in Africa

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.

Sovereign Debt News Update No. 163: To Restructure or To Reprofile? Senegal and the Search for a “Third Way”

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.

Book Review V: Taxation, Human Rights and Sustainable Development: Global South Perspectives (Routledge, 2025)

The book Taxation, Human Rights, and Sustainable Development - Global South Perspectives offers a profound interdisciplinary exploration of the intersection between fiscal policy, human rights, and sustainable development. It features a diverse range of contributors arguing that taxation must be understood not merely as a fiscal or economic mechanism for state revenue generation, but as a vital instrument of human rights fulfilment and social justice. The authors contend that tax systems embody the essence of a social contract, mediating the reciprocal obligations between the state and its citizens. At its core, the book asserts that States, bound by international human rights law and domestic constitutional commitments, have an obligation to design and implement fiscal systems capable of respecting, protecting and fulfilling rights. Taxation, therefore, becomes a moral and political process through which states mobilize resources to secure access to healthcare, education, infrastructure, and social protection.

Book Review IV: Taxation, Human Rights and Sustainable Development: Global South Perspectives (Routledge, 2025)

The book is well written, structured, and displays depth of research into the nexus between taxation, socio-economic rights and sustainable development. The book underscores the importance of tax justice in attaining any meaningful and lasting development in the Global South. The book is of immense use not only to students and researchers but also to human rights groups, policy makers and the general public. Apart from the general introduction written as chapter one, the authors divide the book into three major parts with eleven chapters in total. The first part of the book discusses conceptualization and evolution of the role of human rights in taxation while the second part focuses on the role of various stakeholders in taxation. The third part explores the existing relationship between tax compliance and development. However, for ease of reference, I will take the liberty of appraising the book per chapter.