Debt Sustainability

This paper examines the contested claim that the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) enjoys Preferred Creditor Status (PCS), particularly in the context of its recent downgrade by Fitch to BBB-. While Afreximbank cites provisions in its founding treaty as evidence of such status, the realities of sovereign debt restructuring suggest that PCS is not a legally enforceable right, but a practice shaped by consistent behaviour and market consensus. The analysis argues that, despite normative justifications advanced by African multilateral development banks and sympathetic scholars, the inconsistent treatment of Afreximbank’s claims by African sovereigns has weakened its path toward recognition. Drawing on recent debt workouts in Ghana and Zambia, the paper highlights how systemic pressures and the absence of a global debt resolution framework have compelled member states to treat Afreximbank as an ordinary creditor. It concludes that recognition of PCS for regional development banks cannot be achieved solely through legal assertion or treaty clauses. Instead, it must be earned through consistent practice, reinforced by institutional behaviour, and ultimately sponsored by a reformed global financial architecture. In the interim, the creation of a differentiated PCS tier for regional development banks could serve as a pragmatic step toward balancing developmental imperatives with restructuring realities.

This report sheds new light on a critically overlooked dimension of Africa’s sovereign debt landscape—the transaction costs incurred through the use of intermediaries in debt restructuring processes. This report breaks new ground by exploring the charges, expenses, and costs arising from third-party intermediaries' participation and the broader implications these costs pose for debt sustainability across the continent.

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.

The African Sovereign Debt Justice Network, (AfSDJN), is a coalition of citizens, scholars, civil society actors and church groups committed to exposing the adverse impact of unsustainable levels of African sovereign debt on the lives of ordinary citizens. Convened by Afronomicslaw.org with the support of Open Society for Southern Africa, (OSISA), the AfSDJN's activities are tailored around addressing the threats that sovereign debt poses for economic development, social cohesion and human rights in Africa. It advocates for debt cancellation, rescheduling and restructuring as well as increasing the accountability and responsibility of lenders and African governments about how sovereign debt is procured, spent and repaid. Focusing in particular on Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Nigeria and Senegal, the AfSDJN will also amplify African voices and decolonize narratives on African sovereign debt . Its activities include producing research outputs to enhance the network’s advocacy interventions. It also seeks to create awareness on and elevate the priority given to sovereign debt and other economic justice issues on the African continent and beyond throughout 2021.